Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 280.065688 316.567510 357.154956 405.834572 462.899036 527.993973 608.326784
2025-06-08 221.596293 268.175377 324.553781 398.597754 494.443119 615.939352 784.235734
2025-06-15 192.580804 243.417482 308.413447 399.077259 524.664387 696.157736 954.657452
2025-06-22 168.590406 220.283713 289.224441 390.055291 537.533816 751.618291 1098.214144
2025-06-29 152.621740 205.166448 277.843337 388.648689 558.783060 819.905192 1271.824713
2025-07-06 135.461081 186.191649 258.402791 372.212449 553.977722 846.070404 1380.848114
2025-07-13 129.480030 182.349391 260.019688 387.043769 599.146172 958.479158 1661.316669
2025-07-20 124.753233 179.707057 262.860822 403.702388 649.163607 1087.089025 2002.326261
2025-07-27 117.433252 172.335079 257.465850 405.946526 674.289763 1174.872682 2283.967553
2025-08-03 108.530268 161.681639 245.752003 395.954201 675.712737 1217.548354 2479.699583
2025-08-10 101.171388 152.868671 236.191132 388.515104 680.586945 1267.377677 2703.968901
2025-08-17 98.027228 150.601023 237.235952 400.002414 723.192512 1402.162782 3170.500168
2025-08-24 92.698658 144.446481 231.354218 398.532421 740.766432 1488.765043 3548.955177
2025-08-31 86.838320 136.984647 222.603786 390.744189 744.365205 1545.143506 3866.234531
2025-09-07 82.816867 132.355710 218.440212 391.295781 765.644052 1647.049809 4352.216462
2025-09-14 77.828212 125.687040 210.035980 382.478768 764.967182 1694.983443 4689.939328
2025-09-21 74.287434 121.334093 205.537254 381.106678 780.954036 1788.779165 5216.824478
2025-09-28 69.140732 113.781810 194.504525 365.058416 760.487764 1781.980409 5391.090576
2025-10-05 68.184802 113.760395 197.736423 379.539702 815.278412 1994.126246 6473.740899
2025-10-12 67.442462 114.066396 201.598869 395.801578 877.240664 2243.402253 7851.350070
2025-10-19 65.164224 111.342973 199.268142 397.991988 903.515510 2392.091278 8888.635384
2025-10-26 61.788495 106.339620 192.016881 388.238384 896.740514 2434.885892 9459.128754
2025-11-02 58.898349 102.112706 186.069867 380.976144 895.824504 2497.357843 10170.329533